Friday, June 14, 2019

Ebook Free , by かどやたつひこ

Ebook Free , by かどやたつひこ

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Product details

File Size: 811 KB

Print Length: 87 pages

Simultaneous Device Usage: Unlimited

Publisher: CRAFTec Art Japan (September 29, 2014)

Publication Date: September 29, 2014

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: Japanese

ASIN: B00O271OPM

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#2,027,467 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

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Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Download PDF The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle

Download PDF The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle

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The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle

The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle


The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle


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The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle

Review

“A Wrinkle in Time is one of my favorite books of all time. I've read it so often, I know it by heart. Meg Murry was my hero growing up. I wanted glasses and braces and my parents to stick me in an attic bedroom. And I so wanted to save Charles Wallace from IT.” ―Meg Cabot on A Wrinkle in Time“A book that every young person should read, a book that provides a road map for seeking knowledge and compassion even at the worst of times, a book to make the world a better place.” ―Cory Doctorow on A Wrinkle in Time“A suspenseful, life-and-death drama that is of believable cosmic significance. Complex and rich in mystical religious insights, this is breathtaking entertainment.” ―School Library Journal, starred review on A Wind in the Door“Madeleine L'Engle mixes classical theology, contemporary family life, and futuristic science fiction to make a completely convincing tale that should put under its spell both readers familiar with the Murrys and those meeting them for the first time.” ―The New York Times Book Review on A Wind in the Door“An intricately woven fantasy ... Theme is L'Engle's greatest forte, and once again she proves this with a compelling plot, rich in style that vibrates with provocative thoughts on universal love, individual caring, and the need for the joy in living.” ―Booklist, starred review on A Swiftly Tilting Planet“This will be enjoyed for its suspense and humor as well as its other levels of meaning.” ―Kirkus Reviews on Many Waters“L'Engle blends speculative fiction with biblical theology to create another provocative spellbinding tale.” ―Philadelphia Inquirer on Many Waters“L'Engle has again achieved the award-winning style of A Wrinkle in Time ... Highly recommended.” ―VOYA on An Acceptable Time

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About the Author

Madeleine L'Engle (1918–2007) wrote more than 60 books, the most famous of which is A Wrinkle In Time, winner of the Newbery Award in 1963. Two companion novels, A Wind in the Door and the Newbury Honor book A Swiftly Tilting Planet, complete what has come to be known as The Time Quintet. She also wrote a semi-autobiographical series featuring the Austin family, beginning with the novel Meet The Austins and including the Newbury Honor Book A Ring of Endless Light.

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Product details

Paperback: 244 pages

Publisher: Square Fish; Slp edition (October 2, 2007)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0312373511

ISBN-13: 978-0312373511

Product Dimensions:

5.2 x 4.2 x 7.9 inches

Shipping Weight: 2.9 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.7 out of 5 stars

713 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#8,175 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I read this series many years ago, in seventh grade. I really enjoyed it but haven't read it since then. I have been meaning to reread it but keep putting it off because, like most readers, my To Read list is quite long and just keeps on growing.For that reason, my review will focus on this particular set of books (Square Fish paperback box set, 2007).I had purchased the first four books of the series (different edition) a few years back at the local used book store and was looking the complete the series. I was having trouble finding the correct edition of the fifth book to match my set when I saw this complete set for sale on Amazon. I've had it on my wish list for a while and had almost purchased it several times. I noticed that the price was at $10.99 and thought that was a great deal but I hesitated for a day or two and the next time I checked, it was up to $23 (still, technically, a decent price considering that each of these books costs over $5, individually). I was angry with myself for not jumping at the super low price, so I kept checking back. Well, a day or so later, it went back down to $10.99 and I went for it. It would be foolish NOT to, right?So, what I got is a VERY nice set of paperbacks. Normally, I try to get hardcover but I preferred the colors and artwork on these. They really are beautiful and I love the case, which is made of sturdy, glossy cardboard and has some of the same artwork from the covers. I had this delivered to my work and all of my coworkers and boss commented on what a nice set it was. The only drawback is that the case is a little tight. I can't just pull a book out while it's sitting on my shelf. I have to take the whole case out, turn it upside down and shake it a bit to pry a book out.(I am posting pictures to show which edition I am talking about because I've seen reviews from different editions get combined on one page. I am also including a picture of the set on my shelf to show size in relation to other books.)

I read the first 2 books as a kid and loved them. I agree they are a bit out of date now, but my son thoroughly enjoyed the first 4 books. Would give 5 stars for my kid's enjoyment of these 4.Fortunately, we still read with him each evening because Book 5, Many Waters, is a departure from the other books in its maturity level.SPOILER - But important for parents if interested:I did not see this info in any reviews here.....As mentioned, book 5 is written for a more mature audience than my 10 year old son. I did not preview this book nor read other review sites before launching into it thinking it was similar to the first 4.Yes, it has a definite religious theme to it, but that is not the big deal to me....Some reviews on other sites refer to the book as a 'coming of age' book. I would more describe it as a sexual awakening.While not explicit, there is no question that it is referring to sex between characters, seduction, and there is a mention of bare boobs. The boob thing didn't freak me out, but the material escalates from there. We have continued to read it to my son with some explanations/some glossing over but it gets super cringy in parts. My husbamd and I had to discuss stopping reading it and saving it for a year or two. I don't consider myself a prudish person, but I was not quite ready for this sort of material for my 10 year old boy.Obviously, I don't think it is absolutely horrible and I feel my son is at (or beyond) the age for these discussions. I do feel that other parents may want to be aware of this information.

Wonderful series. It was my favorite when I was a child and I've read it several times. My daughter thought it was boring but I'm still giving it 5 stars. It's not the author's fault my daughter has bad taste.

These books are decades old, but even reading them 30 years later after the first time I picked up "A Wrinkle In Time", they are every bit as entrancing. The story as been summed up and reviewed time and time again, so for me at this point it's more about trying to convey my love of these books and pass that on to at least one other person if I can. It's hard not to relate to Meg and Charles, and their feelings of being different and always on the outside. (Truthfully, though, at the time of my first reading their dog was my favorite character!) I fell in love with the trio of 'Mrs.' as soon as they appeared on the pages before me, and though I struggled to understand what exactly a tesseract was, it was they who made me fall in love with science. I am giddy to see the movie coming out soon, but also worried that it will be impossible to do justice to these books. "Many Waters" is my favorite of the quintet, and works well as a stand-alone novel. If Ms. L'Engle had written nothing but books about this particular family of characters, I would have been a very happy reader.

I went to a women's retreat and the program leader talked about Madeleine L'Engle. I came to the conclusion I'm the only adult woman who had never read A Wrinkle in Time. I ordered this set after the retreat and finished reading all 5 books in two weeks--couldn't put them down. I am a writing instructor for graduate nurses, so I stay centered in a lot of dense scholarly writing and pedagogy. It was sheer bliss reading these imaginative stories that allude to the wonder in the universe--and a kind of knowing that involves free imagination and ultimate trust, without which nothing new would every happen, and ultimate beauty might be missed. I've started reading LEngle's Walking on Water, and am as impressed with her reflections on art, creativity, imagination, and the appreciation of literature as I am with her magical reality children's series.

Bought this for myself to read after surgery during my recovery period. I remember reading the first book in the set as a child and loving it. This set is very nice and I loved reading them. Convenient that the books are in a little box so that it's easy to lend the books to others. The set came on time and was properly packaged by Amazon. :)

The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle PDF
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The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle PDF

The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle PDF
The Wrinkle in Time Quintet Boxed Set (A Wrinkle in Time, A Wind in the Door, A Swiftly Tilting Planet, Many Waters, An Acceptable Time), by Madeleine L'Engle PDF

Tuesday, June 4, 2019

PDF Ebook Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More!

PDF Ebook Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More!

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Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More!


Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More!


PDF Ebook Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More!

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Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More!

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 38 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Kitty Moore

Audible.com Release Date: January 25, 2016

Language: English, English

ASIN: B01AYLYPG4

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

One of the earlier reviews said something about 'ala Martha Stewart', so I decided to purchase the book. And the reviewer was so right. You will save a fortune with these amazing ideas and it will look like Martha is your auntie and she decided to pitch in and help.The author is a very hands-on crafter and makes everything look so beautiful--and easy. I have a spate of nieces planning weddings (which is why I was looking for a wedding planner book) and I am going to look SO knowledgeable :-)

We all know weddings are extremely expensive. All of the flowers, cake, decorations, and dresses add to the total cost. However, you can reduce the cost of the wedding by doing decorations yourself. This book gives you a pile of great ideas of how you can do these craft projects yourself. In fact, handmade decorations are much better than store bought since it puts that personal touch on the wedding that you really are going to want to draw attention to. The wedding day itself is a personal day and the decorations that go with it should also match!

If you have an upcoming wedding, this book can save you a fortune! The author offers loads of inexpensive and elegant ways to dress up every part of the ceremony and the reception. Some are classic and some are quirky, and sure to inspire brides-to-be. Kitty Moore walks step-by-step through many florists tricks and decorating ideas ala Martha Stewart.

Many people want very active involvement in the planning of their weddings these days, even planning the whole thing themselves. But this is one of those things they don't teach at school and some of us are simply not that creative. That's where these books come in. The author must have experienced in planning these events because the information here is priceless. Now I'm not saying that you could read this book and become a professional wedding planner instantly. I am impressed with the amazing presentation of this book. The author has some very beautiful wedding themed crafts as well as links to other crafts. So for useful advice on decorations and other wedding stuff I would consult this book.

Wedding day is indeed the most memorable day in the lives of both the man and the woman. And the most stressful as well. The preparations sometimes take months and every detail should be made perfect. This book can help us in many ways because it has the right details about wedding planner. It has everything you need for your wedding, like the doves, the chairs, the flowers, the decorations to the altar, to the aisle and all. So you need not to look any further all you have to do is make this book your checklist. This is the right book for your wedding.

I am so excited when I was downloading this book! I really need a lot of wedding stuff ideas as I’m about to get married this year. This book is incredibly awesome! There’s a lot of wedding stuff ideas I can use on my wedding day! We’ll it should have been more awesome if the pictures of the wedding stuff is already included on the pages without going to the link. Overall, I am so happy that I bought this book. Great stuff, great author!

My fiancée is planning our wedding and I purchased this book to assist her. Well other than her giving me the task of constructing over two dozen of these crafts, this book has been extremely helpful. I will have to say, each craft is easy construct using a very detailed simple guide. Overall, my wife to be and I are very pleased.

I was looking for some information and ideas about how to organize a low budget wedding (as my sister needs help with her coming wedding this year) when I found this book… And I'm so happy that I did! Very helpful and simple guide to improving your creativity, craft skills, and expanding your repertoire of design capabilities. I'm very excited to start creating my own arts and crafts items!

Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More! PDF
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Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More! PDF

Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More! PDF

Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More! PDF
Wedding Planner, 3rd Edition: 43 Elegant Wedding Crafts You Can Use for Center Pieces, Flowers, Decorations, and Much More! PDF

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Ebook Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb


Ebook Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Skin in the Game: Hidden Asymmetries in Daily Life, by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Review

Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb   “The problem with Taleb is not that he’s an asshole. He is an asshole. The problem with Taleb is that he is right.”—Dan from Prague, Czech Republic (Twitter)   “The most prophetic voice of all . . . [Taleb is] a genuinely significant philosopher . . . someone who is able to change the way we view the structure of the world through the strength, originality and veracity of his ideas alone.”—John Gray, GQ   “Taleb grabs on to core problems that others ignore, or don’t see, and shakes them like an attack dog on a leg.”—Greg from New York (Twitter)   “For my wife and me, Antifragile is an annual reread.”—Colle from Richmond, Virginia (Twitter)   “I read Antifragile four times. First, to get the wisdom to survive. Second, as a memorial statement for Fat Tony. Third, as Das Kapital with correct mathematics. Fourth, as ethics to learn a good way to die.”—Tamitake from Tokyo, Japan (Twitter)   “November . . . time for my annual reread of Antifragile.”—Johann from Vienna, Austria (Twitter)   “[Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as it does to Michel de Montaigne.”—The Wall Street Journal

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About the Author

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flâneur, meditating in cafés across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University’s Tandon School of Engineering. His books, part of a multivolume collection called Incerto, have been published in thirty-six languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. Having been described as “a rare mix of courage and erudition,” he is widely recognized as the foremost thinker on probability and uncertainty. Taleb lives mostly in New York.

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Product details

Hardcover: 304 pages

Publisher: Random House (February 27, 2018)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 042528462X

ISBN-13: 978-0425284629

Product Dimensions:

6.4 x 1 x 9.5 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.2 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.1 out of 5 stars

324 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#9,343 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

I loved Fooled by Randomness and Black Swan and seriously disliked the Antifragility. I am very glad to say that with the Skin in the Game Taleb is back. Opinionated, at times rude and angry, but someone you feel you should listen to.When I buy books I usually read one star reviews. Some of them are crap (my book arrived with six missing pages!), but some give you a pretty good idea of what you are going to find. There is one star review that gets close to 5000 words limit, followed by the long thread of comments exchange where the replies by the original author get, again, to the said limit. If someone gets that fired up by the book that he regurgitates thousands of words - it's well worth a few bucks and I simply must read it.Anyway, as always with Taleb, I now have a new reading list based on his footnotes. Yes, he comes across as an angry man. Yes, he has irrational dislike of academics (as do I) and policy makers. Yes, some of his statements are contradictory and yes, sometimes he goes too far in his arguments. But this is exactly what makes books worthwhile the time spent reading them. Contradictions have to be sorted, but to do so you have to think about the subject and come to your own conclusions, and this involves effort, and this is what makes books stimulating.I highly recommend this book.

Skin in the Game is at the same time thought-provoking and original but also contradictory and sometimes absurd.Let’s start with the cons:1. I certainly won’t be the first to notice that Taleb can be mean-spirited. But why does he insist on presenting his views in this way? The communication of his ideas, often profound, does not require a mean-spirited or condescending tone. For however brilliant Taleb thinks he is, his skills in persuasion are severely lacking; he’s alienating a significant readership that may have otherwise been more receptive to his ideas.Not very far into the book we see Taleb take cheap shots at Steven Pinker, out of nowhere, discussing a topic that has nothing to do with any of Pinker’s actual ideas or positions. One wonders why Taleb cannot just present his ideas without the incessant personal attacks and condescension.2. His overall philosophy appears to be self-refuting. He reviles “intellectuals,” professors, and thinkers while praising “doers” and men of practice. He’s particularly distrustful of those who give advice for a living. Here’s Taleb:“Avoid taking advice from someone who gives advice for a living, unless there is a penalty for their advice.”So should we then ignore THIS advice? As far as I can tell, Skin in the Game is a work of philosophy, an intellectual exercise that argues against the value of intellectual exercise. This is the same self-refuting logic of relativism—in that the statement “everything is relative” is self-refuting because the statement itself needs to be absolute.If Taleb is wrong in any part of his philosophy it doesn’t appear that he would incur any penalty (no skin in the game). The upside for him is book sales with little to no downside risk, so by using his own logic we should conclude to not trust him.Also, to the extent that you believe ideas have power you might find yourself disagreeing with Taleb’s extreme position that no good ideas could possibly come from someone in an academic position (particularly from the reviled economists).Except that Taleb uses economic theories to frame his thinking. The Tragedy of the Commons, something Taleb discusses in his book, was developed by the economist William Forster Lloyd in his armchair. Even Taleb’s Black Swan concept is a reformulation of the Peso problem developed by...economists.I’m sure anyone can think up examples, rather easily, of useful ideas that were discovered by intellectuals or from university research.3. Taleb obsesses about the superiority of practice over academics and theory. This is a questionable proposition.As just one example, a recent study in the American Journal of Medicine concluded that “patients whose doctors had practiced for at least 20 years stayed longer in the hospital and were more likely to die compared to those whose doctors got their medical license in the past five years.”My own personal experience corroborates this, as a medical student was able to correctly diagnose what the attending physician had missed on a trip to the ER. Very experienced, practical individuals sometimes perpetuate bad habits and fail to keep informed of the theories and academics that lead to better practice. This point is completely lost on Taleb.4. Taleb’s definition of rationality as any action that promotes survival is patently false, as a simple thought experiment can show. Imagine a hypothetical survival machine is available for your use. By plugging yourself in, it will guarantee and maximize your life span and, on a social scale, maximizes reproduction. The price is that the machine also inflicts a high degree of pain and cuts you off from contact with other people.According to the logic of Taleb, the rational thing to do would be to plug into this machine. Of course, no one would volunteer to do this because survival is not what motivates rational behavior. Any rational agent would choose one year of pleasant life over 100 years in the survival machine, because actions have value according to how they promote or are perceived to promote well-being or pleasure.Taleb, using this more believable definition of rationality, could have used it to argue the same points, namely how religious belief cannot be called irrational if it promotes well-being, which includes psychological well-being and survival but not survival alone.The pros:That Taleb is antagonistic and holds some questionable views does not mean that he’s wrong about everything. When not being demeaning or taking extreme positions, Taleb writes about some of the most original, thought-provoking, and profound ideas. And even when you find yourself disagreeing with him, he makes you think. For this reason alone, the book is worth checking out.The idea that the extent of people’s stakes in particular outcomes is a critical yet underrated determinant of events is a profound idea with several implications, which Taleb skillfully explores throughout the book. And his idea that you should have to pay some kind of penalty for decisions that negatively impact others—risk sharing vs. risk transfer—is a solid framework for thinking about a host of issues. Of course, these ideas would be easier to swallow if presented with a little more humility, but I suppose we should know what to expect from Taleb by now.

If you hate BS, this is the book for you. Stop being "bullied" for what you think by academics and journalists who have no skin in the game. They have nothing to lose by being wrong (Think Viet Nam, Syrian, the 2008 economic melt down). Trust the do-ers who suffer the consequences for being wrong ( business people who take risks), This book has to be studied. It follows from Mr. Taleb's previous work which provides the science and mathematics behinds this work. It requires a "deep dive" and understanding. A casual book reviewer or journalist would not have an easy time reviewing this book. Be prepared to study, the results are very rewarding not matter what your field of interest.

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Monday, May 27, 2019

PDF Ebook , by Nora Truscello

PDF Ebook , by Nora Truscello

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, by Nora Truscello

Product details

File Size: 1319 KB

Print Length: 130 pages

Page Numbers Source ISBN: 1544160879

Publication Date: February 18, 2017

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B06X94WVHW

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#31,252 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

I love reading anything about the mind. I've experienced many moments of intuition, and am always in awe every time it happens of what the mind is capable of. I found Nora Truscello's book enlightening and extremely informative about the miracle of intuition. This book confirms my belief in intuition and the importance of "following your hunch". This book is well written, and I highly recommend "The Science of Intuition" for anyone that would like to acquire a better understanding about the mysteries of our mind and body.

I've always believed in a great energy we all draw from. Call it the collective consciousness. I'm very pragmatic, but I try to put my trust in this source to make the right decisions.This book not only confirmed my beliefs about the power of intuition and relying on more than your top-level rational thought, but it gave in depth detail of how the process works, including many exercises that will help you draw from the well of your intuition.I highly recommend this book.

The author is well trained, well educated, well practiced, spiritually oriented and motivated to help the reader claim a birthright. She has worked hard to make the material accessible and I believe that anyone who follows Truscello's specific steps will find their desire satisfied to become more aware and confident of one's ability to use the skills to constructive ends, including increased self-acceptance. Empaths especially will benefit from the author's discussion of "intuitive footprints" that enable one to determine if the sudden change of mood springs from within or via an empathic resonance with somebody else.

This is a book on intuition unlike any I have never read before. It explains how to locate the areas on your physical body that tell you how to confirm your intuitions. It also explains how to develop this intuition. Very interesting read.

I understand a lot of heart and passion went into the writing of this book---so thank you for that, Nora. However, I almost put the book down after the first chapter because of so much attention to "religious" references: God, The Lord, Demons, Devil, etc. I am spiritual, but not religious. I believe a book on intuition can be written without religious doctrine (Spirit, yes. Religious dogma, no.) Also, the convention and usage errors were a major distraction. I suggest that the author employ an editor to comb the book for such errors. There were MANY. Another thing that made me question the credibility of the author: she indicated she had worked with Edgar Cayce's A.R.E. for years. She called it, "The Association OF Research and Enlightenment." The OF should be replaced with FOR. These may seem petty, but they are enough to make me question professional credibility. And again, these errors and references to religion were highly distracting in a book that promotes focus.

I found this book to be dark and not very realistic. Some points are reasonable but most are not worth reading. Also, the book has a very “you must do it exactly this way or else you can kiss any results goodbye” approach. This approach completely dishonors inviduals innate wisdom and inherent inner guidance. Truly an awful book. Don’t bother.

Tuning into your intuition is much easier than this, meditation will get you there faster, if you trust yourself.

The Science of Intuition is for everyone who wants to tap into their intuitive side of self. What I love about this book is that it is very understandable and broken down well for the average person without the author's background to readily access. Nora Truscello takes the reader step-by-step through her process to access our intuition. A great read!

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Tuesday, May 21, 2019

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File Size: 4965 KB

Print Length: 378 pages

Publisher: Princeton University Press; 3 edition (January 25, 2015)

Publication Date: January 25, 2015

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B00P6ZJ6HC

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#76,962 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

This first edition of this book, in 2000, was a broad study, drawing on a wide range of published research and historical evidence, of the enormous stock market boom that started around 1982 and picked up incredible speed after 1995. The book argued that the boom represented a speculative bubble, not grounded in sensible economic fundamentals. The second edition, in 2005, added an analysis of the real estate bubble as similar to the stock market bubble that preceded it, and warned that "Significant further rises in these markets could lead, eventually, to even more significant declines." Alas, both predictions turned out to be true, as we now all know.Will history repeat itself with this third volume? That is hard to say. In this latest edition, Professor Shiller updates his argument, and augments the text to reflect developments since the 2005 second edition. Of particular interest, he adds an important new chapter on the bond market, which many feel is also in bubble territory. The good news is that, while Professor Shiller says that returns in all asset classes are likely to be subpar for some years given today's elevated asset prices, the mood is less somber than in previous editions, and there are no warnings of imminent doom, as in previous editions. In particular, he does not see a classic "bubble" in bonds, due to the lack of "exuberance" -- prices for bonds are being bid up reluctantly by investors, he says, which is not the formula for a bubble. However, he certainly balances that somewhat comforting news with a realistic view of the risks that the current situation presents to investors and savers of all types, stocks, bonds, housing, and savings accounts. His main piece of advice to all Americans concerned about their financial future may be the most sensible piece of financial advice ever written: spend less, save more! Yes, we all know that, but when the winner of the 2013 Nobel prize says that, it really means something.I find Professor Shiller's writing style highly enjoyable, not at all like most economics books. The plain-spoken style is smart, wry, and often witty, and there are almost no mathematical formulas, except in the occasional technical notes in back. The book also talks about a lot of factors that are intrinsically interesting to non-economists. For example, it has chapters devoted cultural factors in investing; the effects of the news media; "new era" economic thinking; psychological factors; psychological anchors for the market and herd behavior.Professor Shiller ends by offering a lot of good, commonsense advice to both policymakers and investors, large and small. I highly recommend this book to anyone who wants to understand what's behind the current anxiety, turmoil, and hopes, for a brighter financial future for all Americans.

This reviewer remembers having read the first edition of this book back when it first came out in either 1999 or 2000, just before the stock market crash of 2000-2001. It did a very good job at providing historical perspective regarding long-term values in the stock market. It, correctly, pointed out that the stock market was overpriced and that a decline would be reasonable to expect. And so it happened.Since then, bubbles have also burst in the housing market worldwide as well as the stock markets. In addition, commodity markets have taken on many of the speculative characteristics of equity and housing markets, characteristics that they have not had, at least to the extent of the equity and housing markets, in the past. Bubbles in these markets were not discussed in the first edition of the book. For this reason this reviewer purchased this edition of Dr. Schiller's book - to obtain historical perspective on the housing markets, equity markets since 2000 and commodity prices. The book, in short, provides very good historical perspective on the first two of these (housing and equity markets) but, unfortunately, not too much regarding commodity markets. It discusses long term trends and cyclical bubbles in their historical context. For this reason alone this book should be read by serious investors and students of both economics and finance. As Aristotle once said "A man with no perspective has no value".In addition to providing historical context in regard to these markets, the book also does an excellent job at explaining, through the lens of economic psychology, why bubbles occur. The primary reason is that there is human interaction, that taken on the aggregate, influences the market as a whole. Factors influencing this psychology, that are discussed in some depth in the book (about a chapter each), include (not all inclusively) the optimism (usually unfounded) induced by new technologies (what Dr. Schiller refers to as "New Era Economic Thinking"), the role of the news media and the de-regionalization and globalization of these markets (housing markets historically were only regional within nations and equity markets, in general, were not global - this has changed since the mid-1990s though). Dr. Schiller does a very good job at showing how these primarily psychological factors have played a very important role in inflating and deflating bubbles. He does an excellent job at showing how these psychological factors have played a more important role that economic "fundamentals", as posited by the "rational expectations" school of macroeconomics and finance, are not able to explain credibly. Not that there are no other books available on the subject. John Auther's, writer for the Financial Times, does an excellent job at analyzing the role of psychological factors in bubbles albeit only those in equity markets (and with the emphasis being on institutional players in these markets) in his "The Fearful Rise of Markets: Global Bubbles, Synchronized Meltdowns, and How To Prevent Them in the Future". Dr. Schiller though drills down into more psychological (numerically) as well as analyzing these in detail. He also provides quite a few analogies that clarify his ideas (i.e., providing context in terms of research that shows how investor psychology very much mimics the spread of diseases).All and all the book does an excellent job at examining these psychological factors. Where the book somewhat falls short, however, is in the solutions provided (the final chapter of the book). Many of the solutions provided by Dr. Schiller do not seem very capable of reducing the growth of bubbles. For example, he cites the use, by monetary authorities, of "gently" higher interest rates. He also mentions that persons in "responsible" positions point out the existence of bubbles to the public. Both of these, at least to this reviewer, seem particularly weak. Dr. Schiller also, more importantly, posits that hedging and shorting can also play a very important role but, simultaneously, he also points out the weaknesses in these (i.e., the market financial instruments may not exist, shorting itself may raise prices as to do this some investors [i.e., those offering the shorts for sale] must hold the relevant securities and this can have the effect of raising their prices, etc.). These factors greatly reduce the ability of short selling and hedging's ability to mitigate the size of bubbles.Despite the problems cited in the last paragraph above, the book's historical perspective on equity and housing markets and its serious examination of psychological factors relevant to bubbles make it a very important book to read - especially for serious investors and students of economics and finance.

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Monday, May 13, 2019

PDF Download , by Stacy Perman

PDF Download , by Stacy Perman

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, by Stacy Perman

, by Stacy Perman


, by Stacy Perman


PDF Download , by Stacy Perman

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, by Stacy Perman

Product details

File Size: 21345 KB

Print Length: 354 pages

Page Numbers Source ISBN: 1439190089

Publisher: Atria Books; Reprint edition (February 19, 2013)

Publication Date: February 19, 2013

Sold by: Simon and Schuster Digital Sales Inc

Language: English

ASIN: B008J2AK5G

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#817,217 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

I guess there just isn't quite enough background material to put a lot of "meat on the bone," because there isn't that much here. Plenty of background and silky-smooth narrative on the Packard brothers, the Graves family and the period surrounding them. Yes, the last part of the book give us a little closer look at the watches themselves - but only through the narrative. The photos themselves are weak. I felt the background narrative on the European masters to be skimpy - there is a very rich tapestry of tales from the House of Patek Phillipe - and only an epidermal brushing here. A nod or two to some of the others, and that's it. On the other hand, it is a well-written book, the prose moves along and, if I had actually been more interested in the Packard and Graves family stories, it might have been more engaging for me.

BookreviewThe race to own the worlds most complicated pocket watch.A Grand Complication - The Race to Build the Worlds Most Legendary Watch, by Stacy Perman. Published by Atria Books, New York in February 2013. ISBN number: 978-1-4391-9008-1. 344 pages (plus 8 pages of color plates), 24 x 16 cm, hardbound, dust jacket. Numerous b&w illustrations in the text, glossary, 30 p. of endnotes, 3 p. bibliography and 13 p. index. The book is available from Amazon.com and other sources at about US$ 20.------------------------------------------------------------------.Passionate collectors of complicated pocket watches may remember that the most expensive watch ever sold at auction, for US$ 11,002,500.-, was lot No. 7, at Sotheby's in New York, on 2 December 1999, a one of kind, ultra complicated pocket watch, bearing the number 198 385, completed 1932, made by Patek Philippe, Geneva. That watch features 24 additional `complications` beyond keeping time. It was made especially for the New York banker Henry Graves Jr., who had specified in great detail what functions the watch should perform and how it should look.The book under review opens with describing the scene at Sotheby's that afternoon - and then takes some 300 pages to examine and describe how a market for a significant number of this kind of technology driven, ultra complicated watches developed in the United States in the first three decades f the 20th century. Its author is a New York based, business journalist, who in 2009 (on occasion of the 10th anniversary of the auction) wrote an article on the subject for Business Week, but discovered that the story was better suited for a book length piece than a few pages in a magazine.The `Graves Supercomplication' represents the endpoint of a decades' long, intense competition between two American business tycoons, who both - though of vastly differing style and temperament - are a product of their time, characterized by boundless optimism, belief in technology, and the excesses that resulted in the great depression. Ward Packard from Ohio, the self made founder of the Packard luxury brand of automobiles, and Henry Graves of New York, born into a moneyed banking dynasty, both developed an infatuation with high-grade, complicated timekeeping mechanisms. Both started ordering bespoke, custom built complicated watches made in Switzerland (primarily by Patek Philippe). The author spins a captivating story describing the `arms race' between the two protagonists to not only dream up ever more complex watches, but to actually have these machines produced in steel and gold.Perman writes a suspenseful book, but is obviously more at ease in analyzing the social, cultural and financial angles of the story, than delving into the technological/horological nuances of the mechanical wonders that she writes about. The reader interested primarily in the physical objects, their function or how they were designed and made, will be richly rewarded with countless fascinating morsels of horology (and occasionally be annoyed by misquoted or misunderstood details) but t its heart the book is a social commentary and not a book about complicated watches. Readers who are horological collectors however may find Permans' descriptions of and insights on the contemporary auction market for watches of interest.Fortunat F. Mueller-Maerki, Sussex NJ, February 2013

Bought this book because I love watches, but put off starting it for fear it would be a dry account of watch making. Couldn't have been more wrong! It's a very well written history of my dream timepieces and the men lucky enough to acquire them. Reads like a novel, but packed with interesting facts about lifestyles of America's wealthy in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. Even includes news about very recent watch auctions. Would recommend this book to every one. Bought this as a Kindle book, but will probably buy the hardback so I can share it with friends.

I'll make this brief. I've read only two chapters. The first recounts the sale of the world's most expensive watch at Sotheby's in 1999. It reads like a classic 'whodunit' or a spy novel by John LeCarre. Riveting. I have a passing interest in watches and bought it for the story of James W. Packard who founded the Packard Motor Car Company. I am now totally hooked - in great part because it's beautifully written - not just a recitation of the facts but a grippingly told story. I am hooked ;)

Great insight into the life and times of the wealthy in the 19th and early 20th century. Fascinating look at the history of the best watches made.

Fascinating read about Henry Graves and James Packard and their fascination with timepieces. The book also provides fascinating historical context on the development of automobiles and the lives of NYC financiers - highly recommended!!

... For those passionate about watches.For those curious about the circumstances surrounding the greatest watches ever commissioned, this is a must read, as this story is told in its entirety nowhere else.Perhaps a bit heavy on the period detail, it's a good read nonetheless. I wish my wife had written it as it would have informed an understanding of my love for horology that escapes her still, but as in all things great and small, herein lies a story worth telling.Terry N. RussellMay 2013

An interesting enough book, but the watches seemed like a parallel story to the detailed biographies which seemed to take centre stage. They were interesting in their own right, also as a history of early carmaking/electrical engineering and so on, but this was only tangentially related to the watch story. I also found there was not much technical depth or special insight into the actual watch designs. All in all, a good book that could have been an awesome book if approached from a slightly different angle.

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